Bitcoin Crosses Short-Term Holder Cost Basis, Has the Bull Market Begun?

Bitcoin Crosses Short-Term Holder Cost Basis, Has the Bull Market Begun?
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has been on a roll this week with multiple green candles printed. This may be the end of the bear market, according to some of the industry's senior analysts.

Bitcoins have won 13.6% so far this year. Another green day added 3.4% during the last 24 hours.

In addition, the BTC reached a nine-week intraday peak of $18,970 in the morning of January. 13. The asset has now recovered all losses since the collapse of the FTX at the beginning of November. On Jan. 10, BeInCrypto reported that a larger market move was imminent.

Analysts need to review their graphs and make new forecasts for the next important cycle.

Bitcoin Price USD by BeInCrypto

Bitcoin Bull Run Commencing?

It is perhaps a bit too early to say that a new bull market is in the works. Despite recent gains, the Btc remains down 73% from its historical high of $69,000 14 months ago.

However, the "planb" channel analyst issued an update on January 1st. 13. he noted that bitcoin had gone through the cost base of holders in the short run. The measure is often used to compare the profitability of operators in the short and long run. The first group is typically quick to panic selling in down markets.

With the most recent boost, the analyst made bold predictions. He expects the price of Bitcoin to be above $32.00 by the next half in 2024. The next bull market is expected to start the following year, potentially driving Bitcoin more than six digits.

The move was confirmed by fellow analyst ‘Root’ who

“We broke through the STH cost basis! While we may not find immediate support for the first retest—an important event to monitor afterwards—this is an early sign of recovery.”

However, he also warned that without strong support, BTC could return south.

"Unfortunately, this could still mean a small trough, even if the market by current demand shows signs of recovery," he added.

Although very improbable, some even alluded to a new historic summit this year!

Still a Ways Off the 200W MA

According to Woo Charts, Bitcoin prices are still quite a way off the 200-week moving average of $24,504. This technical indicator was used as a strong support in earlier cycles.

In addition, assets are also very close to their "realized price" of $19,704. Rp is the value of all coins outstanding at the price of their final movement. It may also be regarded as an approximation of what the whole market has paid for their parts.